This week I have carried
out a broad analysis of the role of capitalism in financial crises throughout
history, focusing on crises from the Tulip Mania in the 17th century
to the recent 21st century crash.
In early crises, capitalism seemed to liberate animal spirits and give
rise to speculative bubbles as investors clambered to capitalize on the waves
generated by market liberalization. Yet recent
crises, such as the Asian crisis or the 2008 crisis, also suffered from bubbles
suggesting that sophisticated investors may profiteer by ‘riding the wave’ at
the expense of society more broadly. Furthermore,
many of the crises have also been prolonged or exacerbated through government failure,
in particular the Great Depression, Asian Crisis and recent crisis. This suggests that government should be
cautious about deregulation, given the phony financial behavior it tends to
generate in a greater grab for profits.
It also highlights the conflicts of interest policy makers may face, and
the potential for crony capitalism.
Next week, as mentioned in
my last post, I will focus on the future
of capitalism in its current form.
As it is the last week of my blog, I will also give an overview of my
findings and examine their implications.
Capitalism seems to generate these crises quite regularly, which begs the question why did people not see 2007/2008 coming?
ReplyDeleteI think broadly it was not foreseen. However, whether some active market players were ahead of the game is unclear.
ReplyDelete